MARKET OUTLOOK
 
                         OCT 05, 2009

                        

 

SUPPORT

TODAY’S MARKET LEVELS

RESISTANCE

2

1

1

2

16943/880/850

17059/010

SENSEX – 17134.55

17196/310

17370/440/530

5024/05/4995

5060/45

NSE - 5083.40

5102/37

5155/77/5205

 

                   OVERVIEW & BRIEF TECHNICAL

 


Friday was lackluster with volatility, but week ends firm with 2.65% gain

After huge upsurge last Thursday, market remained lackluster on Friday in the wake of long week-end. Weekly closing was however, firm with 2.65% gains.

Friday's price action in a way proved to be kind of indecision producing a negative bar with small body. We are after all at the tail end of the rally because 17200 is almost in place.

Structurally, since we are contending a small "Diametric" within larger 'G', minor waves 'f' and 'g' are yet to unfold. Time wise, we have now 4-6 days left (2 days grace can be given) to complete this structure.

Due to global weakness and short term overbought condition, market may react now but only for 'f' to unfold and eventually to follow 'g' on the upside completing larger 'G'. Crossover above 17196 will give strength while break below 17059 will creep in weakness.

Downside for minor 'f' could be up to 16850. Traders should look for buying at lower levels unless proved otherwise.
Supports for the day are at 17059/17010/16943/16880/16850 and resistances are placed at 17196/17310/17370/17440/17530.

 

 

 

 

LONG TERM MARKET VIEW ... Authored in Sept. 2005
(Latest long term view will be updated soon)

 

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STOCK

 

 


 

CMP

 


         SUPPORT

 

 


 

RECOMMENDATIONS

(If limits does not come, sell below S1)



 

S/LOSS

 


RESISTANCE


S2


S1


R1


R2

 

ABAN

1651 1598 1625 Go Long on some decline @ 1626/1632 with a given stop-loss. 1597 1667 1710/42

CROMPTON

321 310 315 Go Long on some decline @ 315/317 with a given stop-loss. 309 325 334

GAMMON INDIA

196 185 194 Go Long on some decline @ 192/196 with a given stop-loss. 184 204 213

INFOSYS

2326 2290/75 2313 Go Short on some rise @ 2348/2358 with a given stop-loss. 2391 2346/60 2387

JSWSL

852 826 846 Go Long on some decline @ 844/848 with a given stop-loss. 824 867 896

 

                      (OPEN CALLS OCT. 2009)
                     SMART TRADERS DWELLING RING
                                  RIDE THE TREND TILL THE WEIGHT OF EVIDENCE INDICATES THAT IT HAS REVERSED
                              (DERIVATIVES PICKS
                             (Future prices)
                         
              
(If given limit does not come but (NIFTY or Stock trades) beyond T1, you may choose to trade for T2 in desired direction)

STOCK

CALL STARTED ON

TRAD INST

TREND

LONG/
SHORT

S/L

TARGET

TARGET ACHIEVED ON

NO OF DAYS

% RETURN

T1

T2

T1

T2

                       
NIFTY 05/10 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 5091/5095 5039 5120 5150/70   OPEN    
NIFTY 05/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5039/5037 5091 5005 4992/72  

OPEN

   
NIFTY 01/10 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 5042/5052 4989 5080 5130/70  

CLOSED 01/10

2 Day 5.9%
NIFTY 29/09 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 4966/4968 4929 5008/27 5048/75  

CLOSED 30/09

2 Day 16.8%
NIFTY 25/09 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 4962/4966 4919 5010/27 5048/75  

CLOSED 25/09

1 Day 6.7%

 

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DISCLAIMER:  Author's recommendations are solely made with the purpose to educate the market participants/traders/investors and to enable them to derive maximum benefits by acting upon them. While due care has been taken in preparing these comments, no responsibility will be assumed by the author for the consequences whatsoever, resulting out of acting on these recommendations.