MARKET OUTLOOK
 
                         OCT 07, 2009

                        

 

SUPPORT

TODAY’S MARKET LEVELS

RESISTANCE

2

1

1

2

16785/713/670

16895/850

SENSEX – 16958.54

16988/17062

17142/196/315

4973/51/38

5007/4993

NSE - 5027.40

5036/59

5083/5100/37

 

                   OVERVIEW & BRIEF TECHNICAL

 


On second day of decline, market stages a smart recovery

From 17196, where we suspected of a probable top for the market, is yet a suspicion and not a confirmation. Decline form 17196 was somewhat more in size, but eventually recovered smartly from lower level suggesting, this time also, market does not want to give more than two down bars.

However, coming session i.e. Wednesday will be more crucial because, it will be more clearer that whether market is unfolding for Diametric or Double Combination within larger 'G'.

If it is DC, it will be more or less like black labeling shown below and will not cross above 17196 but consolidate and break below larger D-F line. But, if it is Diametric, we have probably seen end of small 'f' (see red labels) and small 'g' may have opened up which can take out 17196 easily.

In other words 17196 is very crucial which traders should pay more importance to. Larger D-F line is rising in nature and its value for Wednesday is at 16600 hence, major weakness is possible only upon breaking this line, while intra-day strength will be seen above 16988.

As long as 17196 is protected, traders should follow the range of 17196-16600 in which they may sell on rise and buy on decline. positional sell can be initiated only below D-F line and positional buy above 17196.
Supports for the day are at 16895/16850/16785/16713/16670 and resistances are placed at 16988/17062/17142/17196/17315.

 

 

 

 

LONG TERM MARKET VIEW ... Authored in Sept. 2005
(Latest long term view will be updated soon)

 

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STOCK

 

 


 

CMP

 


         SUPPORT

 

 


 

RECOMMENDATIONS

(If limits does not come, sell below S1)



 

S/LOSS

 


RESISTANCE


S2


S1


R1


R2

 

AUROBINDO

787 755 778 Go Long on some decline @ 774/780 with a given stop-loss. 754 800 840

AXIS BANK

999 975 988 Go Long on some decline @ 986/990 with a given stop-loss. 974 1003 1017/34

INFOSYS

2311 2283/55 2300 Go Short only below S1 @ 2298/2296 with a given stop-loss. 2327 2315 2326

JSWSL

869 852 863 Go Long on some decline @ 862/864 with a given stop-loss. 851 876 887/904

ONGC

1184 1155/40 1175/66 Go Long only above R1 @ 1188/1189 Go Short below S1 @ 1174/1172 with  given stop-loss. L/1174
S/1188
1187 1210

 

                      (OPEN CALLS OCT. 2009)
                     SMART TRADERS DWELLING RING
                                  RIDE THE TREND TILL THE WEIGHT OF EVIDENCE INDICATES THAT IT HAS REVERSED
                              (DERIVATIVES PICKS
                             (Future prices)
                         
              
(If given limit does not come but (NIFTY or Stock trades) beyond T1, you may choose to trade for T2 in desired direction)

STOCK

CALL STARTED ON

TRAD INST

TREND

LONG/
SHORT

S/L

TARGET

TARGET ACHIEVED ON

NO OF DAYS

% RETURN

T1

T2

T1

T2

                       
NIFTY 07/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5075/5080 5111 5046 4996  

OPEN

   
NIFTY 07/10 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 4988/4996 4934 5046 5080  

OPEN

   
NIFTY 06/10 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 5056/5058 5026 5090 5120/50  

CLOSED 06/10

1 Day Limit not come
NIFTY 06/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5026/5032 5056 4995 4972  

CLOSED 06/10

1 Day 8.9%
NIFTY 05/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5039/5037 5091 5005 4992/72  

CLOSED 05/10

1 Day 5.7%
NIFTY 01/10 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 5042/5052 4989 5080 5130/70  

CLOSED 01/10

2 Day 5.9%
NIFTY 29/09 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 4966/4968 4929 5008/27 5048/75  

CLOSED 30/09

2 Day 16.8%
NIFTY 25/09 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 4962/4966 4919 5010/27 5048/75  

CLOSED 25/09

1 Day 6.7%

 

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DISCLAIMER:  Author's recommendations are solely made with the purpose to educate the market participants/traders/investors and to enable them to derive maximum benefits by acting upon them. While due care has been taken in preparing these comments, no responsibility will be assumed by the author for the consequences whatsoever, resulting out of acting on these recommendations.