MARKET OUTLOOK
 
                         OCT 08, 2009

                        

 

SUPPORT

TODAY’S MARKET LEVELS

RESISTANCE

2

1

1

2

16650/580/494

16764/713

SENSEX – 16806.66

16860/966

17006/079

4938/16/4890

4973/57

NSE - 4985.75

5002/35

5047/70

 

                   OVERVIEW & BRIEF TECHNICAL

 


Under pressure

Despite positive global markets, Indian markets exhibited some strength initially of normal nature, only to give up more than 350 points from its high. Generated "Dark Cloud Cover" candlestick pattern which is certainly bearish as it is in an overbought zone.

Our larger 'G' from 15358 (see chart) is probably unfolding as a "Double Combination" a NEoWave pattern where we have two correctives separated by a small 'x' wave.

Here, second corrective (see chart after 'x') can be either Triangle or Flat with 'c' failure. If it is triangle, current decline could be only a small 'd' to be followed by 'e' going up, but if it is a 'c' failure Flat, then rally has probably terminated at 17120.

If true, then top has been made and now only the break of D-F line on closing basis is awaited. For Thursday D-F line value comes at 16650 which is quite crucial to watch out for.

Traders are advised to look for shorting on rise rather than venturing to buy.
Supports are at 16764/16713/16650/16580/16494 and resistances are placed at 16860/16966/17006/17079.

 

 

 

 

LONG TERM MARKET VIEW ... Authored in Sept. 2005
(Latest long term view will be updated soon)

 

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STOCK

 

 


 

CMP

 


         SUPPORT

 

 


 

RECOMMENDATIONS

(If limits does not come, sell below S1)



 

S/LOSS

 


RESISTANCE


S2


S1


R1


R2

 

CAIRN

260 253 259 Go Short on some rise @ 262/263 with a given stop-loss. 266 263 265

DIVIS LAB

555 542 549 Go Long on some decline @ 549/551 with a given stop-loss. 541 561 573

INFOSYS

2252 2190 2228 Go Short on some rise @ 2272/2276 with a given stop-loss. 2296 2275 2294

POLARIS

146 140 145 Go Short on some rise @ 147/149 with a given stop-loss. 152 149 151

SBI

2101 2054 2088 Go Short on some rise @ 2126/2132 with a given stop-loss. 2156 2128 2154

 

                      (OPEN CALLS OCT. 2009)
                     SMART TRADERS DWELLING RING
                                  RIDE THE TREND TILL THE WEIGHT OF EVIDENCE INDICATES THAT IT HAS REVERSED
                              (DERIVATIVES PICKS
                             (Future prices)
                         
              
(If given limit does not come but (NIFTY or Stock trades) beyond T1, you may choose to trade for T2 in desired direction)

STOCK

CALL STARTED ON

TRAD INST

TREND

LONG/
SHORT

S/L

TARGET

TARGET ACHIEVED ON

NO OF DAYS

% RETURN

T1

T2

T1

T2

                       
NIFTY 08/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5022/5028 5081 4964/20 4870  

OPEN

   
NIFTY 07/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5075/5080 5111 5046 4996  

CLOSED 07/10

1 Day 12.6%
NIFTY 07/10 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 4988/4996 4934 5046 5080  

CLOSED 07/10

1 Day almost T1 achieved
NIFTY 06/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5026/5032 5056 4995 4972  

CLOSED 06/10

1 Day 8.9%
NIFTY 05/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5039/5037 5091 5005 4992/72  

CLOSED 05/10

1 Day 5.7%
NIFTY 01/10 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 5042/5052 4989 5080 5130/70  

CLOSED 01/10

2 Day 5.9%
NIFTY 29/09 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 4966/4968 4929 5008/27 5048/75  

CLOSED 30/09

2 Day 16.8%
NIFTY 25/09 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 4962/4966 4919 5010/27 5048/75  

CLOSED 25/09

1 Day 6.7%

 

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DISCLAIMER:  Author's recommendations are solely made with the purpose to educate the market participants/traders/investors and to enable them to derive maximum benefits by acting upon them. While due care has been taken in preparing these comments, no responsibility will be assumed by the author for the consequences whatsoever, resulting out of acting on these recommendations.