MARKET OUTLOOK
 
                         OCT 12, 2009

                        

 

SUPPORT

TODAY’S MARKET LEVELS

RESISTANCE

2

1

1

2

16400/338/255

16606/494

SENSEX – 16642.66

16720/764

16805/900

4870/51/26

4934/00

NSE - 4945.20

4969/82

4995/5024

 

                   OVERVIEW & BRIEF TECHNICAL

 


Seven months "Diametric" from 8110, terminates at 16963 with absolute TOP at 17196

Indian markets kept aside all the positive cues (Foreign and Domestic) of last couple of days and chose to weaken more by paving the way to technical reversal. Weakness even aggravated more on last Friday enabling market to even break the D-F line on closing basis (see chart).

We have been saying that, of our Diametric structure, 'G' will be  similar in time and complexity with 'A' and eventually the same has happened that 'G' remained equal to 'A 'consuming 22 days with multi-wave formation.

Break of D-F line gives us first confirmation of Topping and reversal of bigger ('B' in circle) while, breaking below 16494 will reconfirm the same.

'G' of larger diametric, from 15358-17196-16963 unfolded as "Double Combination" i.e. a-b-c + x + a-b-c-d-e. This pattern as per NEoWave theory, retraces up to 80% and this gives us an estimate of first set of decline to halt at around 15680 on SENSEX or 4640 on NIFTY Cash.

What will be the larger picture post this rally will be evident with the passage of time. For now, traders are advised to take up shorting business in current scenario on intra-day bounce.
Supports for the day are at 16606/16494/16400/16338/16255 and resistances are placed at 16720/16764/16805/16900.

 

 

 

 

LONG TERM MARKET VIEW ... Authored in Sept. 2005
(Latest long term view will be updated soon)

 

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STOCK

 

 


 

CMP

 


         SUPPORT

 

 


 

RECOMMENDATIONS

(If limits does not come, sell below S1)



 

S/LOSS

 


RESISTANCE


S2


S1


R1


R2

 

AB NUVO

954 929 945 Go Long on some decline @ 948/952 with a given stop-loss. 928 961 987/1010

BEL

1519 1478/60 1503 Go Long on decline between S1 & S2 @ 1478/1484 with a given stop-loss. 1457 1552 1586/1610

HDFC

2693 2640 2676 Go Short on some rise @ 2698/2702 with a given stop-loss. 2724 2700 2722

JIND STL

599 579/66 596 Go Short only below S1 @ 595/594 with a given stop-loss. 613 608 612

ONGC

1220 1187/80 1213 Go Short only below S1 @ 1212/1208 with a given stop-loss. 1231 1230 1248

SBI

2066 2006 2048 Go Short on some rise @ 2074/2078 with a given stop-loss. 2104 2075 2102

 

                      (OPEN CALLS OCT. 2009)
                     SMART TRADERS DWELLING RING
                                  RIDE THE TREND TILL THE WEIGHT OF EVIDENCE INDICATES THAT IT HAS REVERSED
                              (DERIVATIVES PICKS
                             (Future prices)
                         
              
(If given limit does not come but (NIFTY or Stock trades) beyond T1, you may choose to trade for T2 in desired direction)

STOCK

CALL STARTED ON

TRAD INST

TREND

LONG/
SHORT

S/L

TARGET

TARGET ACHIEVED ON

NO OF DAYS

% RETURN

T1

T2

T1

T2

                       
NIFTY 12/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 4966/4974 5007 4918 4865/25  

OPEN

   
NIFTY 09/10 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 5053/5055 5017 5082 5120/50  

CLOSED 09/10

1 Day Limit not come
NIFTY 09/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5017/5024 5053 4998/64 4936/04  

CLOSED 09/10

1 Day 13.7%
NIFTY 08/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5022/5028 5081 4964/20 4870  

CLOSED 08/10

1 Day 8.1%
NIFTY 07/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5075/5080 5111 5046 4996  

CLOSED 07/10

1 Day 12.6%
NIFTY 07/10 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 4988/4996 4934 5046 5080  

CLOSED 07/10

1 Day almost T1 achieved
NIFTY 06/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5026/5032 5056 4995 4972  

CLOSED 06/10

1 Day 8.9%
NIFTY 05/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5039/5037 5091 5005 4992/72  

CLOSED 05/10

1 Day 5.7%
NIFTY 01/10 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 5042/5052 4989 5080 5130/70  

CLOSED 01/10

2 Day 5.9%
NIFTY 29/09 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 4966/4968 4929 5008/27 5048/75  

CLOSED 30/09

2 Day 16.8%
NIFTY 25/09 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 4962/4966 4919 5010/27 5048/75  

CLOSED 25/09

1 Day 6.7%

 

Feedback and comments are invited from the readers.

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DISCLAIMER:  Author's recommendations are solely made with the purpose to educate the market participants/traders/investors and to enable them to derive maximum benefits by acting upon them. While due care has been taken in preparing these comments, no responsibility will be assumed by the author for the consequences whatsoever, resulting out of acting on these recommendations.