MARKET OUTLOOK
 
                         OCT 14, 2009

                        

 

SUPPORT

TODAY’S MARKET LEVELS

RESISTANCE

2

1

1

2

16832/725/680

16988/943

SENSEX – 17026.67

17069/120

17196/275/370

4994/61/47

5042/28

NSE - 5054.25

5067/82

5106/30/60

 

                   OVERVIEW & BRIEF TECHNICAL

 


Bearishness seems to have negated at least for the time being

We said ... break of D-F line gives us first confirmation of Topping and reversal of bigger ('B' in circle) while, breaking below 16494 will provide re-confirmation of the same.

D-F line was certainly broken on log scale but on arithmetic scale, it was not ... In fact, it was actually supported on D-F line. Last Friday's sustained weakness made us believe that even on Arithmetic scale, the same D-F line will get broken on Monday. But the things were different on Monday, turning over the table completely.

Now, since D-F line, and eventually 16494 is protected, we would go with the flow of the market and watch 17120-17196 area on the higher side. We would see whether this area proves to be a struggle zone or allows itself to be taken out easily.

On the downside, value of D-F line is now increased to 16700 on arithmetic scale. In other words, 16700-17200 is a 500 points range, where market will remain indecisive, but break on either side will provide direction.


Till then it is prudent to be unvocal on the market trend. Supports for the day are at 16988/16943/16832/16725/16680 and resistances are placed at 17069/17120/17196/17275/17370.

 

 

 

 

LONG TERM MARKET VIEW ... Authored in Sept. 2005
(Latest long term view will be updated soon)

 

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STOCK

 

 


 

CMP

 


         SUPPORT

 

 


 

RECOMMENDATIONS

(If limits does not come, sell below S1)



 

S/LOSS

 


RESISTANCE


S2


S1


R1


R2

 

BOI

409 398 403 Go Long on some decline @ 402/404 with a given stop-loss. 397 411 414/25

GRASIM

2418 2376/15 2396 Go Short only below S1 @ 2394/2392 with a given stop-loss. 2432 2431 2450

INFOSYS

2240 2185/55 2215 Go Short on some rise @ 2252/2262 with a given stop-loss. 2294 2254/70 2293

RIL

2167 2112 2148 Go Long on some decline @ 2148/2152 with a given stop-loss. 2109 2185 2210/32

TELCO

550 526 540 Go Short on some rise @ 553/555 with a given stop-loss. 558/565 557 564

 

                      (OPEN CALLS OCT. 2009)
                     SMART TRADERS DWELLING RING
                                  RIDE THE TREND TILL THE WEIGHT OF EVIDENCE INDICATES THAT IT HAS REVERSED
                              (DERIVATIVES PICKS
                             (Future prices)
                         
              
(If given limit does not come but (NIFTY or Stock trades) beyond T1, you may choose to trade for T2 in desired direction)

STOCK

CALL STARTED ON

TRAD INST

TREND

LONG/
SHORT

S/L

TARGET

TARGET ACHIEVED ON

NO OF DAYS

% RETURN

T1

T2

T1

T2

                       
NIFTY 14/10 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 5081/5083 5012 5130 5160  

OPEN

   
NIFTY 14/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL (Low)@ 5012/5008 5053/81 4963/37 4918/4885  

OPEN

   
NIFTY 12/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 4966/4974 5007 4918 4865/25  

CLOSED 12/10

1 Day -5.7%
NIFTY 09/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5017/5024 5053 4998/64 4936/04  

CLOSED 09/10

1 Day 13.7%
NIFTY 08/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5022/5028 5081 4964/20 4870  

CLOSED 08/10

1 Day 8.1%
NIFTY 07/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5075/5080 5111 5046 4996  

CLOSED 07/10

1 Day 12.6%
NIFTY 06/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5026/5032 5056 4995 4972  

CLOSED 06/10

1 Day 8.9%
NIFTY 05/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5039/5037 5091 5005 4992/72  

CLOSED 05/10

1 Day 5.7%
NIFTY 01/10 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 5042/5052 4989 5080 5130/70  

CLOSED 01/10

2 Day 5.9%
NIFTY 29/09 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 4966/4968 4929 5008/27 5048/75  

CLOSED 30/09

2 Day 16.8%
NIFTY 25/09 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 4962/4966 4919 5010/27 5048/75  

CLOSED 25/09

1 Day 6.7%

 

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DISCLAIMER:  Author's recommendations are solely made with the purpose to educate the market participants/traders/investors and to enable them to derive maximum benefits by acting upon them. While due care has been taken in preparing these comments, no responsibility will be assumed by the author for the consequences whatsoever, resulting out of acting on these recommendations.