MARKET OUTLOOK
 
                         OCT 16, 2009

                        

 

SUPPORT

TODAY’S MARKET LEVELS

RESISTANCE

2

1

1

2

16998/963/880

17120/068

SENSEX – 17195.20

17274/350

17417/460

5048/38/12

5086/70

NSE - 5108.85

5133/57

5177/91

 

                   OVERVIEW & BRIEF TECHNICAL

 


D-F Line support has caused a considerable recovery

On arithmetic scale, D-F line support has proved to be a substantial one which caused smart recovery. We still go with 'G' from 15358 of larger diametric, though it is consuming a bit more time vis-à-vis 'A' as an exception to the rule.

We are probably in 'c' wave of second corrective after small 'x' (see chart). This second corrective will be either 'Flat' or 'Triangle'. If it is Flat, today's high should be the end which will be of course confirmed upon faster retracement of 'c' of Flat.

Motion line will turned down below 17092, creeping in more weakness. Decline with faster pace thereafter, will lead to a break of D-F line and point 'b' at last. This scenario will be bearish one, causing reversal soon enough.

On the other hand, trading above 17350, will provide strength and market can rally for 'c' up to dashed line resistance at 17575 (see chart). Such scenario will be a triangle in second corrective, of which 'd' and 'e' will be required to be completed before breaking the triangle on downside.

Traders should watch those level to position accordingly.
Supports for the day are at 17120/17068/16998/16963/16880 and resistances are placed at 17274/17350/17417/17460.

 

 

 

 

LONG TERM MARKET VIEW ... Authored in Sept. 2005
(Latest long term view will be updated soon)

 

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STOCK

 

 


 

CMP

 


         SUPPORT

 

 


 

RECOMMENDATIONS

(If limits does not come, sell below S1)



 

S/LOSS

 


RESISTANCE


S2


S1


R1


R2

 

CAN BANK

370 360/56 367 Go Short only below S1 @ 366.5/366 with a given stop-loss. 373 372 375

CENTURY

504 487 499 Go Long on some decline @ 496/498 with a given stop-loss. 486 512 523

INFOSYS

2216 2150 2188 Go Short on some rise @ 2220/2224 with a given stop-loss. 2246 2222 2245

RANBAXY

393 374 390 Go Short on some rise @ 394/396 with a given stop-loss. 405 395 404

TCS

582 560 576 Go Short on some rise @ 586/588 with a given stop-loss. 597 588 596

 

                      (OPEN CALLS OCT. 2009)
                     SMART TRADERS DWELLING RING
                                  RIDE THE TREND TILL THE WEIGHT OF EVIDENCE INDICATES THAT IT HAS REVERSED
                              (DERIVATIVES PICKS
                             (Future prices)
                         
              
(If given limit does not come but (NIFTY or Stock trades) beyond T1, you may choose to trade for T2 in desired direction)

STOCK

CALL STARTED ON

TRAD INST

TREND

LONG/
SHORT

S/L

TARGET

TARGET ACHIEVED ON

NO OF DAYS

% RETURN

T1

T2

T1

T2

                       
NIFTY 16/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5066/5064 5117 5050 5020/4990  

OPEN

   
NIFTY 14/10 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 5081/5083 5012 5130 5160  

CLOSED 14/10

1 Day 6.7%
NIFTY 14/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL (Low)@ 5012/5008 5053/81 4963/37 4918/4885  

CLOSED 14/10

1 Day Limit not come
NIFTY 12/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 4966/4974 5007 4918 4865/25  

CLOSED 12/10

1 Day -5.7%
NIFTY 09/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5017/5024 5053 4998/64 4936/04  

CLOSED 09/10

1 Day 13.7%
NIFTY 08/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5022/5028 5081 4964/20 4870  

CLOSED 08/10

1 Day 8.1%
NIFTY 07/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5075/5080 5111 5046 4996  

CLOSED 07/10

1 Day 12.6%
NIFTY 06/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5026/5032 5056 4995 4972  

CLOSED 06/10

1 Day 8.9%
NIFTY 05/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5039/5037 5091 5005 4992/72  

CLOSED 05/10

1 Day 5.7%
NIFTY 01/10 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 5042/5052 4989 5080 5130/70  

CLOSED 01/10

2 Day 5.9%
NIFTY 29/09 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 4966/4968 4929 5008/27 5048/75  

CLOSED 30/09

2 Day 16.8%
NIFTY 25/09 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 4962/4966 4919 5010/27 5048/75  

CLOSED 25/09

1 Day 6.7%

 

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DISCLAIMER:  Author's recommendations are solely made with the purpose to educate the market participants/traders/investors and to enable them to derive maximum benefits by acting upon them. While due care has been taken in preparing these comments, no responsibility will be assumed by the author for the consequences whatsoever, resulting out of acting on these recommendations.