MARKET OUTLOOK
 
                         OCT 20, 2009

                        

 

SUPPORT

TODAY’S MARKET LEVELS

RESISTANCE

2

1

1

2

17136/082/021

17260/203

SENSEX – 17326.01

17371/452

17493/558

5084/67/48

5122/04

NSE - 5141.80

5156/81

5193/5213

 

                   OVERVIEW & BRIEF TECHNICAL

 


SENSEX gives "Counter Attack Line" on Muhurat day

It was a short one hour trading of Diwali muhurat which can not be compared with any full-fledged trading session. However, within that little session SENSEX produced a candlestick pattern called "Counter Attack Line" (Henceforth referred as CAL) on comparatively large volume.

CAL pattern is a bearish pattern which shows gap-up opening with great optimism but, soon turning into a great pessimism. Selling continues from higher levels eventually to close right at the previous days close. Such price behavior is depressing, which can lead to a complete reversal in sentiments but, continued weakness on the next day is required to confirm such reversal.

Now, weakness will creep in below 17260 and strength above 17493. Trading below 17260 on the back of CAL, will turn the motion line down creating a new channel for us (see chart). In such scenario, weakness can continue up to the lower end of the channel in coming days, which may also meet at D-F line of larger NEoWave Diametric pattern.

On the other hand, in case of SENSEX consistently trading above 17493 can take itself up to 17950 (A weekly channel resistance) in this week only. We bet more on the former view than the later but the later one must be kept at the back of your mind.
Supports for the day are at 17260/17203/17136/17082/17021 and resistances are placed at 17371/17452/17493/17558.

 

 

 

 

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STOCK

 

 


 

CMP

 


         SUPPORT

 

 


 

RECOMMENDATIONS

(If limits does not come, sell below S1)



 

S/LOSS

 


RESISTANCE


S2


S1


R1


R2

 

ABB

809 792 806 Go Short on some rise @ 812/813 with a given stop-loss. 821 813 820

AXIS BANK

1011 992/84 1005 Go Short on some rise @ 1017/1019 with a given stop-loss. 1028 1020 1027

BEL

1571 1519 1551 Go Long on some decline @ 1551/1555 with a given stop-loss. 1518 1584 1615

HDFC BANK

1703 1688/80 1696 Go Short on some rise @ 1708/1710 with a given stop-loss. 1721 1710 1720

ONGC

1239 1202 1225 Go Long only above R1 @ 1246/1248 with a given stop-loss. Go Short only below S1 @ 1224/1222 L/1224
S/1246
1245 1260/73

RANBAXY

392 381/76 390 Go Short on some rise @ 395/396 with a given stop-loss. 403 397 402

 

                      (OPEN CALLS OCT. 2009)
                     SMART TRADERS DWELLING RING
                                  RIDE THE TREND TILL THE WEIGHT OF EVIDENCE INDICATES THAT IT HAS REVERSED
                              (DERIVATIVES PICKS
                             (Future prices)
                         
              
(If given limit does not come but (NIFTY or Stock trades) beyond T1, you may choose to trade for T2 in desired direction)

STOCK

CALL STARTED ON

TRAD INST

TREND

LONG/
SHORT

S/L

TARGET

TARGET ACHIEVED ON

NO OF DAYS

% RETURN

T1

T2

T1

T2

                       
NIFTY 20/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5134/5138 5166 5116 5080/40  

OPEN

   
NIFTY 16/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5066/5064 5117 5050 5020/4990  

CLOSED 16/10

1 Day Limit not come
NIFTY 14/10 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 5081/5083 5012 5130 5160  

CLOSED 14/10

1 Day 6.7%
NIFTY 12/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 4966/4974 5007 4918 4865/25  

CLOSED 12/10

1 Day -5.7%
NIFTY 09/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5017/5024 5053 4998/64 4936/04  

CLOSED 09/10

1 Day 13.7%
NIFTY 08/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5022/5028 5081 4964/20 4870  

CLOSED 08/10

1 Day 8.1%
NIFTY 07/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5075/5080 5111 5046 4996  

CLOSED 07/10

1 Day 12.6%
NIFTY 06/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5026/5032 5056 4995 4972  

CLOSED 06/10

1 Day 8.9%
NIFTY 05/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5039/5037 5091 5005 4992/72  

CLOSED 05/10

1 Day 5.7%
NIFTY 01/10 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 5042/5052 4989 5080 5130/70  

CLOSED 01/10

2 Day 5.9%
NIFTY 29/09 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 4966/4968 4929 5008/27 5048/75  

CLOSED 30/09

2 Day 16.8%
NIFTY 25/09 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 4962/4966 4919 5010/27 5048/75  

CLOSED 25/09

1 Day 6.7%

 

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DISCLAIMER:  Author's recommendations are solely made with the purpose to educate the market participants/traders/investors and to enable them to derive maximum benefits by acting upon them. While due care has been taken in preparing these comments, no responsibility will be assumed by the author for the consequences whatsoever, resulting out of acting on these recommendations.