MARKET OUTLOOK
 
                         OCT 22, 2009

                        

 

SUPPORT

TODAY’S MARKET LEVELS

RESISTANCE

2

1

1

2

16855/810/687

16997/943

SENSEX – 17009.17

17068/120

17195/249/350

5017/03/4965

5060/44

NSE - 5063.60

5082/98

5121/38/69

 

                   OVERVIEW & BRIEF TECHNICAL

 


Second Down day ... watch out for the third one

After 17493 top of last Friday (i.e. Muhurat day), SENSEX made a lower High of 17457 on Tuesday. On Wednesday also SENSEX could not cross above 17457 and made another lower High of 17249 giving us 2 down days in a row.

 

From F-G, counter trend move was never more than 2 days. Now, if on Thursday, market declines below Wednesday's low of 16997, it will be a 3rd down day from 17493.

 

Wednesday's low of 16997 is supported on D-F line (see chart). Trading above 17249 (i.e. Wednesday's high) will be bullish as it will yet again prove that D-F line is protected.

 

However, consistently trading below 16997 will be bearish and in fact, it will be like trading below D-F line, which will give first confirmation of completion of 'G'. Faster retracement of entire leg from 16606-17493 is required for the reversal confirmation.

Traders should therefore watch those two levels i.e. 17249 and 16997 as crucial. Supports for the day are at 16997/16943/16855/16810/16687 and resistances are placed at 17068/17120/17195/17249/350.

 

 

 

 

LONG TERM MARKET VIEW ... Authored in Sept. 2005
(Latest long term view will be updated soon)

 

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STOCK

 

 


 

CMP

 


         SUPPORT

 

 


 

RECOMMENDATIONS

(If limits does not come, sell below S1)



 

S/LOSS

 


RESISTANCE


S2


S1


R1


R2

 

DLF

472 454/47 465 Go Short on some rise @ 476/477 with a given stop-loss. 488 477 487

HERO HONDA

1613 1575 1605 Go Short on some rise @ 1632/1634 with a given stop-loss. 1646 1635 1645

JET AIRWAYS

434 414 423 Go Long on some decline @ 424/426 with a given stop-loss. 413 438 444/53

MARUTI

1505 1465/47 1496 Go Short on some rise @ 1518/1522 with a given stop-loss. 1536 1526 1535

 

                      (OPEN CALLS OCT. 2009)
                     SMART TRADERS DWELLING RING
                                  RIDE THE TREND TILL THE WEIGHT OF EVIDENCE INDICATES THAT IT HAS REVERSED
                              (DERIVATIVES PICKS
                             (Future prices)
                         
              
(If given limit does not come but (NIFTY or Stock trades) beyond T1, you may choose to trade for T2 in desired direction)

STOCK

CALL STARTED ON

TRAD INST

TREND

LONG/
SHORT

S/L

TARGET

TARGET ACHIEVED ON

NO OF DAYS

% RETURN

T1

T2

T1

T2

                       
NIFTY 22/10 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 5124/5126 5088 5154 5172/90  

OPEN

   
NIFTY 22/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5088/5092 5124 5058 5028/10   OPEN    
NIFTY 22/10 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 5000/5010 4963 5028 5058/88   OPEN    
NIFTY 20/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5134/5138 5166 5116 5080/40  

CLOSED 20/10

1 Day 5.6%
NIFTY 16/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5066/5064 5117 5050 5020/4990  

CLOSED 16/10

1 Day Limit not come
NIFTY 14/10 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 5081/5083 5012 5130 5160  

CLOSED 14/10

1 Day 6.7%
NIFTY 12/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 4966/4974 5007 4918 4865/25  

CLOSED 12/10

1 Day -5.7%
NIFTY 09/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5017/5024 5053 4998/64 4936/04  

CLOSED 09/10

1 Day 13.7%
NIFTY 08/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5022/5028 5081 4964/20 4870  

CLOSED 08/10

1 Day 8.1%
NIFTY 07/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5075/5080 5111 5046 4996  

CLOSED 07/10

1 Day 12.6%
NIFTY 06/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5026/5032 5056 4995 4972  

CLOSED 06/10

1 Day 8.9%
NIFTY 05/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5039/5037 5091 5005 4992/72  

CLOSED 05/10

1 Day 5.7%
NIFTY 01/10 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 5042/5052 4989 5080 5130/70  

CLOSED 01/10

2 Day 5.9%
NIFTY 29/09 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 4966/4968 4929 5008/27 5048/75  

CLOSED 30/09

2 Day 16.8%
NIFTY 25/09 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 4962/4966 4919 5010/27 5048/75  

CLOSED 25/09

1 Day 6.7%

 

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DISCLAIMER:  Author's recommendations are solely made with the purpose to educate the market participants/traders/investors and to enable them to derive maximum benefits by acting upon them. While due care has been taken in preparing these comments, no responsibility will be assumed by the author for the consequences whatsoever, resulting out of acting on these recommendations.