MARKET OUTLOOK
 
                         OCT 29, 2009

                        

 

SUPPORT

TODAY’S MARKET LEVELS

RESISTANCE

2

1

1

2

16144/065/002

16228/195

SENSEX – 16283.49

16342/411

16494/560/606

4783/59/40

4809/4799

NSE - 4826.15

4844/65

4891/4911/25

 

                   OVERVIEW & BRIEF TECHNICAL

 


Weakness persist 

In continuation with Tuesday's bigger fall, Wednesday also exhibited weakness with high volatility. It appears that there is a total shift in sentiments and every rise now meets the supply.

After straight 7 days decline except one inside bar, we have 6 down days .. so to say, and the same has caused oversold condition in the short term which is visible on the lower scale chart. Due to such oversold condition, we may see some pull-back but in our opinion, it will be a slow and steady affair.

Short term traders are therefore advised to follow the given levels properly to position themselves on right direction. However, positional players should care less for such pull back simply because, pull back is now likely to create a lower High, eventually turning the momentum negative.

We may see some strength above 16411, but if fails to sustain above this level, more down ward drift will be seen to find support at 16000 zone. Supports are at 16228/16195/16144/16065/16002 and resistances are placed at 16342/16411/16494/16560/16606.

 

 

 

 

LONG TERM MARKET VIEW ... Authored in Sept. 2005
(Latest long term view will be updated soon)

 

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STOCK

 

 


 

CMP

 


         SUPPORT

 

 


 

RECOMMENDATIONS

(If limits does not come, sell below S1)



 

S/LOSS

 


RESISTANCE


S2


S1


R1


R2

 

ABB

766 745/36 758 Go Short on some rise @ 768/772 with a given stop-loss. 781 773 780

HDIL

347 330 340 Go Short on some rise @ 352/353 with a given stop-loss. 363 354 362

L & T

1587 1546/30 1577 Go Short only below S1 @ 1576/1574 with a given stop-loss. 1606 1605 1615

SBI

2218 2135 2188 Go Short on some rise @ 2254/2258 with a given stop-loss. 2273 2235 2255/72

 

                      (OPEN CALLS OCT. 2009)
                     SMART TRADERS DWELLING RING
                                  RIDE THE TREND TILL THE WEIGHT OF EVIDENCE INDICATES THAT IT HAS REVERSED
                              (DERIVATIVES PICKS
                             (Future prices)
                         
              
(If given limit does not come but (NIFTY or Stock trades) beyond T1, you may choose to trade for T2 in desired direction)

STOCK

CALL STARTED ON

TRAD INST

TREND

LONG/
SHORT

S/L

TARGET

TARGET ACHIEVED ON

NO OF DAYS

% RETURN

T1

T2

T1

T2

                       
NIFTY 29/10 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 4868/4870 4842 4905 4936  

OPEN

   
NIFTY 29/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 4842/4846 4868 4792 4775/56  

OPEN

   
NIFTY 29/10 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 4756/4754 4727 4775/92 4842  

OPEN

   
NIFTY 28/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 4892/4902 4926 4838 4795/75  

CLOSED 28/10

1 Day 6.7%
NIFTY 27/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 4996/5002 5044 4965 4920  

CLOSED 27/10

1 Day 6.2%
NIFTY 23/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5014/5018 5069 4972 4930/10  

CLOSED 26/10

2 Day 6.9%
NIFTY 22/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5088/5092 5124 5058 5028/10  

CLOSED 22/10

1 Day 7.5%
NIFTY 20/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5134/5138 5166 5116 5080/40  

CLOSED 20/10

1 Day 5.6%
NIFTY 14/10 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 5081/5083 5012 5130 5160  

CLOSED 14/10

1 Day 6.7%
NIFTY 12/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 4966/4974 5007 4918 4865/25  

CLOSED 12/10

1 Day -5.7%
NIFTY 09/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5017/5024 5053 4998/64 4936/04  

CLOSED 09/10

1 Day 13.7%
NIFTY 08/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5022/5028 5081 4964/20 4870  

CLOSED 08/10

1 Day 8.1%
NIFTY 07/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5075/5080 5111 5046 4996  

CLOSED 07/10

1 Day 12.6%
NIFTY 06/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5026/5032 5056 4995 4972  

CLOSED 06/10

1 Day 8.9%
NIFTY 05/10 FUTURE  DOWN SELL @ 5039/5037 5091 5005 4992/72  

CLOSED 05/10

1 Day 5.7%
NIFTY 01/10 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 5042/5052 4989 5080 5130/70  

CLOSED 01/10

2 Day 5.9%
NIFTY 29/09 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 4966/4968 4929 5008/27 5048/75  

CLOSED 30/09

2 Day 16.8%
NIFTY 25/09 FUTURE  UP LONG @ 4962/4966 4919 5010/27 5048/75  

CLOSED 25/09

1 Day 6.7%

 

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DISCLAIMER:  Author's recommendations are solely made with the purpose to educate the market participants/traders/investors and to enable them to derive maximum benefits by acting upon them. While due care has been taken in preparing these comments, no responsibility will be assumed by the author for the consequences whatsoever, resulting out of acting on these recommendations.