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MARKET OUTLOOK FOR JAN 14TH, 2005

 

                                 
                                
MARKET OUTLOOK

                                 APRIL 18TH, 2005

                                  (Sample "Classic Newsletter")

 

SUPPORT

TODAY’S MARKET LEVELS

RESISTANCE

2

1

1

2

6180/6135

6220

SENSEX – 6248.34

6294

6321/40/82

1912

1936

NSE – 1956.30

1971

1991/2002

 

                   OVERVIEW & BRIEF TECHNICALS

 


Blood bath on the streets

 

We said in our Friday’s issue that break of a rising trend line (marked on the chart) will lead to a fall at a faster pace. Market opened with a huge down gap and stayed below the said trend line. Since last more than 3 weeks, we have been advocating for rally being over at 6948. We also ended our larger wave Capital B (in square) at 6948 (as shown on the chart) and declared that intermediate correction has started.

 

There is a difference in intermediate correction and bear market. In a medium term market has certainly turned bearish but at the same time we are not in a bear market as far as the larger trend is concerned. Intermediate correction was already due after 9 months rally and that is what we are currently witnessing. It will not be surprising if this correction takes market as down as 5913/5691/5270, on the contrary it will be healthier with fresh opportunities for the market players.

 

Technically, wave structure suggests that we are heading for (a-b-c Zigzag) fall as a first standard corrective. First fall from 6948 to 6321 looks like impulsive in nature, labeled as wave-a (in circle). Sideways consolidation thereafter looks like (a-b-c Flat-Double Failure) ending wave-b (in circle) at 6516. And finally, crash started on black Friday the 15th opened down wave-c (in circle).


We have drawn on the chart the suspected shape of the fall for wave-c (in circle) and as a result above mentioned downside targets seem to be quite logical. Strategy therefore now is very simple that use higher levels to trade on short side. So far at every point we have been advising to sell high, market has given up 700+ points till now and our advice has yielded handsomely to subscribers as well as non-subscribers.

 

 

 

          TRADERS PARADISE
        A Profitable Day-Trading Product

                 This is a unique product for intra-day trading with high success rate. Traders must see
                  that their trades are squared off at the end of the day. Do not carry any position home.

                                                                                           

 


 

STOCK


 

 


 

CMP

 


         SUPPORT

 

 


 

RECOMMENDATIONS

 



 

S/LOSS

 


RESISTANCE


S2


S1


R1


R2

 

 MARUTI

412

 403

 411

Go Short only below S1 @ 409/410 with a given stop-loss.

 413

 415

 418

 ONGC

 877

 860

 873

Go Short only below S1 @ 871/872 with a given stop-loss.

 878

 881

 890

 RIL

 545

 539/35

 543

Go Short on some rise @ 547/548 with a given stop-loss.

 554

 549

 553

 ICICI BANK

 354

 347

 350

Go Long on some decline @ 350/352 with a given stop-loss.

 349

 357

 362

 ITC

 1244

 1217

 1230

Go Short on rises to R1 @ 1255/1258 with a given stop-loss.

 1263

 1260

 1273

SBI

381

372 376

Go Short on some rise @ 384/385 with a given stop-loss.

389 385

387

 


Basics of “Traders Paradise”


“Traders Paradise” with its support and resistance levels along with a commentary allow you to generate your own trading calls using the levels as benchmark. Therefore, use these levels to time your entry, exits and stop losses. This table captures the trading ranges and the movement in the desired direction.

 

Remember, Day-Trade also requires faster initiation, tighter stop losses and quick profit booking. Though, a clear line of action is provided in the recommendations column of “Traders Paradise”, you may alter the levels by using your own wisdom best suited for the day, because given limits may come or may not come. If Day-Trade is your interest and passion, you will be amazed at the high rate of success of this product which is time-tested.


About commentary and other measures

 

Strictly follow the comments given in the recommendation column to choose your direction of trade. Sometimes, due to unusual and illogical volatile movements, trader is not able to enter into a trade at opening bell though the exact entry level has already come and gone. In such circumstances, trader must wait and watch the movement of the subject stock closely before taking a position as stated below:

 

·          If a long call opens above R1 and sustains, make an entry for the target of R2 by increasing your stipulated stop-loss level. Because, when stock’s price crosses R1 we expect an upward spurt in the price unless it falls below the R1 again.

 

·          If Short call opens lower below S1 and stays there, take a short position for the target of S2 by reducing your higher stop-loss level. Because, when a stock’s price falls below S1 we expect the price to continue to go down in the short term.

 

But, whenever, you are able to enter at exact given entry point, you are on top of the world. By strictly adhering to the given stop-loss, try to book partial profit at R1 and rest at or near R2. It will be more preferable and advisable to book a full profit at R1 simply to come out of a trade because ultimately, this is a limited hour’s day-trading.

 

                      (OPEN CALLS JAN. 2005)
                     SMART TRADERS DWELLING RING
                                  RIDE THE TREND TILL THE WEIGHT OF EVIDENCE INDICATES THAT IT HAS REVERSED
                              (DERIVATIVES PICKS)

 

STOCK

CALL STARTED ON

TRAD INST

TREND

LONG/
SHORT

S/L

TARGET

TARGET ACHIEVED ON

NO OF DAYS

% RETURN

T1

T2

T1

T2

                       
TELCO

15/04

FUTURE

DOWN

SELL @ 423/425

429

413

406

15/04

CLOSED @ 413 15/04

1 DAY

 +17.3%

NIFTY

13/04

FUTURE

DOWN

SELL @ 2034/2036

2044

2022

2015

 

CLOSED 13/04

1 DAY

 +10.7%

NIFTY

13/04

FUTURE

UP

LONG @ 2014/2018

2009

2028

2035

 

CLOSED 13/04

1 DAY

 +5.7%

NIFTY

12/04

FUTURE

DOWN

SELL @ 2008/2010

2017

1996

1985

 

CLOSED 12/04

1 DAY

 -5.5%

SBI

12/04

FUTURE

DOWN

SELL @ 648/650

661

632

623

 

CLOSED 15/04

4 DAY

 +35.7%

HDFC BANK

11/04

FUTURE

DOWN

SELL @ 548/552

559

540

528

 

CLOSED 13/04

3 DAY

 -14.9%

BEL

11/04

FUTURE

DOWN

SELL @ 698/704

715

670

658

 

CLOSED 12/04

2 DAY

 -18.8%

NIFTY

08/04

FUTURE

DOWN

SELL @ 2042/2046

2052

2035

2025

 

CLOSED 08/04

1 DAY

 +15.3%